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U.S. Treasury dismisses IMF debt warning and 'messy' forecasting

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Core Development: U.S. Treasury dismisses IMF debt warning and 'messy' forecasting
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Market & Financial Impact: The exchange comes as U.S. debt exceeds $40 trillion and 10-year Treasury yields remain above 5%, intensifying scrutiny of the fiscal outlook.
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Actionable Insight: 🏛️ Policy & Macro: Interest rate, inflation, or regulatory changes affecting broad market valuations.

The International Monetary Fund should check its own forecasting record before criticizing U.S. fiscal policy, David Zervos, newly appointed counselor to the Treasury Secretary, said on Thursday.

"When we see pieces on the IMF, it's good to remember how messy their forecasts have been in the past," Zervos said in emailed comments to CNBC.

The former Wall Street economist was responding to the IMF's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, who cautioned during the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on Wednesday that strong U.S. economic growth would not be sufficient to put mounting federal debt on a sustainable course.

Georgieva was herself responding to U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who told CNBC in August that the U.S. could "grow our way out" of a rising debt-to-GDP ratio, after government debt surpassed $40 trillion.

Zervos, formerly chief market strategist at Jefferies, said Thursday: "In 2008, [the IMF's World Economic Outlook] had world growth at 3% and we had the first global contraction in post-world history a year later. We saw them positive on Southeast Asia in 1997 before the collapse."

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Official Publisher Attribution: This report is aggregated from CNBC. ZeroLive provides live aggregation, automated sentiment synthesis, and exchange disclosure monitoring for retail market participants.
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