Following a Barclays note Wednesday that outlined what a merger between Tesla and SpaceX could look like, prediction market traders increased the odds of an integration above 50% for early 2027.
Since Wednesday, odds of a merger happening before March jumped to 56% by Friday morning, up from 29%. Odds for an integration before April and May climbed to similar levels.
The contract asks, "When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?" and will be verified by news outlets and the Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR database.
Tesla, known for its electric vehicles, and SpaceX, a rocket and satellite company, have collaborated before. Both are controlled by Elon Musk.
On Thursday, Tesla showed off its long-delayed Roadster, which relies on SpaceX technology to make the vehicle hover. A video showcasing the Roadster's capabilities was also recorded from SpaceX's test site in Texas.